Greg's bite: Verizon 4G iPhone, Microsoft stock downgrade
TweetFollow Us on Twitter

Greg's bite: Verizon 4G iPhone, Microsoft stock downgrade

By Greg Mills

Verizon iPhone rumors are making enough waves that it's starting to seem this may actually jell in some form.

Apple is so famously secretive on product development and new product launches, you sort of need to take Apple related rumors with a grain of salt. Sometimes, rumors pan out, and sometimes they don't. Steve Jobs is famous for punishing parts companies that leak accurate information about what they are doing.  

Some folks don't understand the copycat problem Apple has with Microsoft and a scad of other players who have made an industry of knocking off everything Apple does and diluting the market. Add the suspense and drama Jobs weaves into new product launches and you have a marketing program Apple's competition dreams about. Millions of dollars of free advertising and favorable spin are a major benefit. (iPhone 4's "Antennagate" being an exception to the rule.)

"MacDailyNews.com" ran a story yesterday with disclaimers that the story might be unfounded rumors, but that the tips came from a normally reliable source. I suspect the rumors are mostly true as the details leaked make sense and fit in with what else we already know.  See http://macdailynews.com/index.php/weblog/comments/27813/ .

Apple's exclusive deal with AT&T is getting long in the tooth and, by some estimates, Apple will sell 10,000,000 more iPhones the first year by also selling through Verizon. At up to US$600 a pop, that is an amazing sum of money, even for Apple. It is a well known fact that Android has thrived on the market that consists of people who prefer an iPhone but can't or won't switch to AT&T.  

With Android being the only really viable modern alternative smart phone platform to the Apple iOS, Apple must continue to grow market share to stay ahead of the pack. As I mentioned before, AT&T won't lose so many customers to Verizon they will go into a serious decline, but there will be a correction in new iPhone sales related to losing the exclusive deal with Apple. Actually, people with poor AT&T service who stay will see some benefit if the bandwidth load drops off due to new Verizon iPhone activations. There will be a lot of used iPhones on the market for a while that run on AT&T's 3G network

Secondly, as I mentioned in Saturday's Greg's Bite article, building an iPhone based upon the other main format for cell phones will allow Apple to sell iPhones to a lot of additional cell phone providers around the world.  What did surprise me was that the rumors are for a LTE capable iPhone. This is a multiple radio band iPhone that can run on both the 3G and 4G networks. If that part of the story is true, it would allow the iPhone to leverage amazing speeds, when the 4G networks are actually up and running.  

Clear loaned me a 4G hot spot device that they recently launched with great gusto and made promises for coverage and fast service that, in my mind, are more than a little wishful thinking. It seems like the cell phone companies have artists draw coverage maps with wide felt tip markers when a fine point pen would be more accurate.  

My test of the Clear hot spot was that the network wasn't mature enough to make the contract with Clear worthwhile -- and I live only a mile from a new tower. The real problem with doing business with Clear is that you have to also date Clear's ugly siamese twin sitter, Sprint, to go out on a date with the beautiful Clear. When you can't get the 4G network, most of the Clear Hot Spots revert to 3G, which in this case means an additional contract with Sprint. That is certainly a killer problem as far as I am concerned. Clear is in financial difficulties which have been dumped into Sprint's lap.  

From what I have been able to read the hand-off from 4G to 3G on the Verizon network has had problems that Apple and Verizon are working on. While going from one cell tower to another during an uninterrupted call is sometimes seamless on a mature 3G network, dropping from 4G down to 3G seems to have some unexpected issues.  

It takes a long time and a lot of money to launch a cell phone network, and that reportedly has Job's undershorts in a twist. I was amazed to read that some European cell phone companies have been asking Apple to help them get their networks up to speed to support the broadband hog we all love. If the rumors are true, Apple might actually be helping AT&T and Verizon with loans to get the 4G networks up sooner, rather than later.  

The long and short of it: expect the Apple iPhone 5 to be a dual band phone when it comes out for Verizon soon -- and later in the spring when AT&T launches its version. Having both flavors of iPhone, Verizon's  CDMA and AT&T's GSM running 4G, when it is available will certainly be easy to sell when Jobs takes the stage.  Keep in mind that if you have invested in apps that run on your AT&T iPhone, your activation of a Verizon iPhone will transfer those apps to your new Verizon iPhone. 

Microsoft's obvious failure to launch a timely touch screen tablet os to support its normal "hardware partners" is a subject I have been blogging about for a while now. A Goldman Sachs analyst confirms my point in a recent research note and has downgraded Microsofts expected revenue growth for next year to be half the growth seen this year.  She also discounts the newly released Windows Vista 7 Mobile OS as likely to only ramp up Microsoft's overall mobile OS presence in the market from 7% to 10%.  This, the same day Goldman Sachs raised Apple's stock target price to $430.

By anyone's expectation, with all that Microsoft has put on the line, a 3% market share in the burgeoning smart phone market is peanuts. The stale, existing 7% of the market using the obsolete Windows Mobile OS is actually bound to drop dramatically over the next year, as business users get new phones, which might leave some room for a bit more than 3% for the new Mobile Vista 7 OS. Any way you slice it, with Apple and Android surging, Microsoft is striking out in the important mobile OS market.

A number of additional ominous signs are that Microsoft's "partners" are bailing out of the Titanic, seeing the large iceberg clearly ahead, while captan Ballmer takes a nap. Intel has set up a dedicated table group to split its support between Microsoft, Nokia and Google's three tablet OS projects under development. Microsoft is no longer the dominant player. HP bought Palm, in many respects due to the lack of a viable tablet OS from Microsoft. These hardware partners in the PC world are going separate ways due to the giant vacuum at the top at Microsoft.

A further bit of bad news for Microsoft, my fund raising efforts to provide money for a tongue reduction surgery for Mr. Ballmer and iPads for Bill Gates' iOS deprived kids has come up dry.  I guess it is the bad economy.  

That's Greg's bite for today.

(Greg Mills, is a Faux Artist in Kansas City. Formerly a new product R&D man for the paint sundry market, he holds 11 US patents. He's working on a solar energy startup, www.CottageIndustrySolar.com using a patent pending process of turning waste dual pane glass into thermal solar panels used to heat water. Greg writes for intellectual web sites and Mac related issues. See Greg's art web site at www.gregmills.info ; his email is gregmills@mac.com )

 
AAPL
$100.11
Apple Inc.
-0.64
MSFT
$46.44
Microsoft Corpora
+0.03
GOOG
$576.36
Google Inc.
-0.74

MacTech Search:
Community Search:

Software Updates via MacUpdate

SyncTwoFolders 2.0.5 - Syncs two user-sp...
SyncTwoFolders simply synchronizes two folders. It supports synchronization across mounted network drives and it is a possibility to run a simulation showing in a log what will be done. Please visit... Read more
FinderPop 2.5.7 - Classic Mac utility, n...
FinderPop is a Universal preference pane that extends OS X's contextual menus using a FinderPop Items folder much as the Apple Menu Items folder used to do for the Apple menu. It has other features... Read more
VueScan 9.4.45 - Scanner software with a...
VueScan is a scanning program that works with most high-quality flatbed and film scanners to produce scans that have excellent color fidelity and color balance. VueScan is easy to use, and has... Read more
LibreOffice 4.3.2.2 - Free Open Source o...
LibreOffice is an office suite (word processor, spreadsheet, presentations, drawing tool) compatible with other major office suites. The Document Foundation is coordinating development and... Read more
calibre 2.4 - Complete e-library managem...
Calibre is a complete e-book library manager. Organize your collection, convert your books to multiple formats, and sync with all of your devices. Let Calibre be your multi-tasking digital... Read more
Default Folder X 4.6.9b1 - Enhances Open...
Default Folder X attaches a toolbar to the right side of the Open and Save dialogs in any OS X-native application. The toolbar gives you fast access to various folders and commands. You just click... Read more
Beamer 2.0.4 - Stream any movie file fro...
Beamer streams to your Apple TV.... Plays any movie file - Just like the popular desktop movie players, Beamer accepts all common formats, codecs and resolutions. AVI, MKV, MOV, MP4, WMV, FLV. To... Read more
Adobe Premiere Elements 13.0 - Consumer...
Adobe Premiere Elements just got better. Now you can create quick movies from favorite parts of your clips or tell big life stories in full-on productions. Add motion inside movie titles, punch up... Read more
Boom 1.9.2 - System-wide volume booster...
Boom is a system-wide volume booster and equalizer that effortlessly improves the sound of your Mac. Using Boom is easy. It works like the volume controls of your Mac to boost the sound; making it a... Read more
Amadeus Pro 2.1.7 - Multitrack sound rec...
Amadeus Pro lets you use your Mac computer for any audio-related task, such as live audio recording, digitizing tapes and records, converting between a variety of sound formats, etc. Thanks to its... Read more

Latest Forum Discussions

See All

This Week at 148Apps: September 22-26, 2...
Your Source For The Latest App Reviews   | Read more »
Kill Shot Review
Kill Shot Review By Jennifer Allen on September 29th, 2014 Our Rating: :: OCCASIONAL MISFIRESUniversal App - Designed for iPhone and iPad Kill Shot is often satisfying, but its more than pushy in-app purchases will leave you... | Read more »
It Came From Canada: Vainglory
I’m going to be straight you with folks. I don’t know much about MOBAs, and I’m certainly no professional. That means I don’t know how well Vainglory, the upcoming multiplayer online battle arena showcased in the most recent Apple keynote, compares... | Read more »
The Tunnel – An Endless Fall Review
The Tunnel – An Endless Fall Review By Nadia Oxford on September 29th, 2014 Our Rating: :: FREE FALLIN' Universal App - Designed for iPhone and iPad The Tunnel – An Endless Fall is a bit harder to get the hang of than most “endless... | Read more »
Ubisoft Launches Just Dance Now in the A...
Ubisoft Launches Just Dance Now in the App Store Worldwide Posted by Jessica Fisher on September 29th, 2014 [ permalink ] Universal App - Designed for iPhone and iPad | Read more »
For Better, or for Worse? How the New Ap...
With the release of iOS 8 (finally), Apple has made some noticeable changes on the App Store – bundles, videos, and Testflight integration, to name a few. Many of these additions will make things friendlier for App Store shoppers, but how has it... | Read more »
Asphalt Overdrive Review
Asphalt Overdrive Review By Jennifer Allen on September 29th, 2014 Our Rating: :: SHORT LIVED ADRENALINEUniversal App - Designed for iPhone and iPad Asphalt Overdrive is a fairly simple auto-running racing game, but one that’s... | Read more »
Kritika: Wrath of the Pirate King Update...
Kritika: Wrath of the Pirate King Update Introduces New Class: Shadow Mage. Posted by Jessica Fisher on September 29th, 2014 [ permalink ] | Read more »
Vampire Tribunals Review
Vampire Tribunals Review By Campbell Bird on September 29th, 2014 Our Rating: iPhone App - Designed for the iPhone, compatible with the iPad Hunt other vampires in the “real world” in this location-based multiplayer game.   | Read more »
Simogo Tease The Sailor’s Dream Via Thei...
Simogo Tease The Sailor’s Dream Via Their New Trailer Posted by Ellis Spice on September 29th, 2014 [ permalink ] A new trailer has arrived for the newest title from Device 6 and | Read more »

Price Scanner via MacPrices.net

MacBook Airs on sale for $100 off MSRP, start...
Best Buy has the new 2014 MacBook Airs on sale for $100 off MSRP on their online store. Choose free home shipping or free local store pickup (if available). Prices valid for online orders only, in-... Read more
Apple Releases OS X Mavericks bash Update 1.0...
Apple has released a patch update for OS X Mavericks users to address the recently-detected “Shellshock” security bug in BSD UNIX’s bash shell. Apple says only a few Mac users who had manually... Read more
Pivotal Payments Ready for Apple Pay – FlexPo...
Pivotal Payments, a provider of merchant services and global payment processing solutions, has announced its proprietary FlexPoint platform will support credit and debit transactions through Apple’s... Read more
iStabilizer Announces Tabarm — First Friction...
iStabilizer, a specialist in universal lightweight compact tripods, steady cams, dollies, mounts, and remotes for smartphones, tablets, and cameras, announced today the iStabilizer tabArm, the first... Read more
IStabilizer Flex Smartphone Tripod Wins Usa T...
iStabilizer, a specialist in universal lightweight compact tripods, steady cams, and other products for smartphones, tablets, and cameras, has announced today that its iStabilizer Flex smartphone... Read more
13-inch 2.8GHz Retina MacBook Pro on sale for...
B&H Photo has the new 2014 13″ 2.8GHz Retina MacBook Pro on sale for $1699.99 including free shipping plus NY sales tax only. They’ll also include free copies of Parallels Desktop and LoJack for... Read more
15-inch Retina MacBook Pros on sale for up to...
B&H Photo has the new 2014 15″ Retina MacBook Pros on sale for up to $150 off MSRP. Shipping is free, and B&H charges NY sales tax only. They’ll also include free copies of Parallels Desktop... Read more
Get Down to Business On Your iPad With Free N...
Utah based Poem LLC has introduced Nexticy 1.0, a full-featured, affordable (Free) forms application for iPad. Nexticy makes it ‘way easy’ to create, store, retrieve and analyze paper-like forms of... Read more
13-inch Retina MacBook Pros on sale for $100...
Best Buy has 13-inch 2.6GHz Retina MacBook Pros on sale for $100 off MSRP on their online store. Choose free shipping or free local store pickup (if available). Prices are for online orders only, in-... Read more
Reports Outline Claimed 12-Inch Macbook Air D...
Blogger Jack March says that according to information he’s received from an anonymous “source familiar with Apple’s plans,” the next-generation MacBook Air will launch in mid-2015 and be available... Read more

Jobs Board

*Apple* Retail - Multiple Positions (US) - A...
Sales Specialist - Retail Customer Service and Sales Transform Apple Store visitors into loyal Apple customers. When customers enter the store, you're also the Read more
*Apple* Retail - Multiple Positions (US) - A...
Job Description: Sales Specialist - Retail Customer Service and Sales Transform Apple Store visitors into loyal Apple customers. When customers enter the store, Read more
Senior Event Manager, *Apple* Retail Market...
…This senior level position is responsible for leading and imagining the Apple Retail Team's global event strategy. Delivering an overarching brand story; in-store, Read more
*Apple* Solutions Consultant (ASC) - Apple (...
**Job Summary** The ASC is an Apple employee who serves as an Apple brand ambassador and influencer in a Reseller's store. The ASC's role is to grow Apple Read more
Project Manager / Business Analyst, WW *Appl...
…a senior project manager / business analyst to work within our Worldwide Apple Fulfillment Operations and the Business Process Re-engineering team. This role will work Read more
All contents are Copyright 1984-2011 by Xplain Corporation. All rights reserved. Theme designed by Icreon.