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Mac will top 12% US market share within a year

The Mac’s share of the U.S. personal computer market rose to nearly 11% during the second quarter of 2011, with Apple representing the only major computer manufacturer to report double-digit growth in a market that contracted by more than 4%. My prediction: by this time next year Apple will have 12-14% of the personal computer market in the US and will be in the top five global manufacturers.

The IDC research group says that Apple shipped 1.917 million Macs in the US during the three-month period that ended in June. That’s a 14.7% increase over the year-ago quarter. That made Apple the number three computer vendor with a 10.7% market share. That’s up from 9% during the year-ago quarter.

Rival research firm Gartner also gave the Mac 10.7% of the US computer market, but said Apple shipped 1.814 million systems stateside. Per Gartner, that represents 8.5% growth compared to its 1.671 million actual shipments during the year-ago quarter.

Neither research group figures the iPad into the mix. If it did, Apple’s market share would skyrocket. Regardless, the Mac is on a steady climb despite all hoopla of the post-PC world. Look for that climb to continue.

— Dennis Sellers

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